Seven teams ranked ahead of Syracuse lost this week, including four within the 10-20 rankings, who each suffered their third loss of the season.
One of the Week 11 college football picks the model is recommending: No. 1 Alabama (-23.5) continues to not only win, but also surpass oddsmakers' expectations, as it covers against No. 18 Mississippi State.
#18 Michigan State plays #10 Ohio State this weekend. Figure the ones with conference championships will have the edge.
Iowa State who beats a Kansas team that just fired its coached jumped ahead of Fresno State and if the argument is that the Jayhawks are a Power 5 team in the Big 12 and the Bulldogs win over UNLV is way different. The conference saw just two teams - Washington State and Utah - find their way into the first playoff rankings Tuesday and it will likely be down to one team after the Utes suffered a double-digit loss to USC. UCF, at 8-0, is behind two teams with two losses already. Unless they turn it around, they could unquestionable drop their second game out of their last three. Georgia has got a little leeway when it faces Auburn and Georgia Tech. Still, the Sooners are probably the Big 12's best bet to win an argument against a one-loss Big Ten champion or Notre Dame with one loss.
Washington State travels to Colorado on Saturday.
In the end, it won't matter since Oklahoma and West Virginia still play each other the day after Thanksgiving. The Mountaineers do have a victory against Tennessee on a neutral field. Then again, the Gators are the highest-ranked three-loss team on the board - only three spots behind No. 12 UCF (8-0). The Buckeyes are the lowest-ranked one-loss team after beating Nebraska. Meanwhile, Penn State fell to #20 after getting their butts kicked by MI 42-7.
Athletic director Danny White and the Knights fans certainly don't want to hear this, but another ideal season probably won't even get UCF seriously considered for a spot in the semifinal - unless things get really weird.
Clemson has two 60-point wins this season, which shows how dominant they've been in the ACC. Trevor Lawrence, Travis Etienne, and the offense is on-fire, and they might be able to go toe-to-toe with Alabama's offense.
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