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New Jersey Democrats in Strong Position to Flip GOP Districts

17 April 2018

But the rise of Donald Trump shocked and dismayed Klarman, as did the timid response from the Republican-controlled House and #Senate, which have acquiesced rather than challenge the president's erratic and divisive ways.

The 19-percentage-point gap in favor of Democrats in New Jersey is significantly wider than the generic House vote edge of nine points in a national poll last month. In the five House seats now held by a Republican, 46 percent of voters prefer the GOP candidate and 44 percent the Democrat. So, in an astonishing flip, Klarman, at one point New England's most generous donor to Republicans, is taking his money elsewhere: He's heaping cash on Democrats.

In the five House seats now held by a Republican, voter preference is split 46 percent for the GOP candidate and 44 percent for the Democrat, according to the poll.

Democrats have a 19-point advantage over Republicans in the generic House ballot among all registered voters in New Jersey, according to a Monmouth University Poll released Monday.

Klarman said he's financing his new political donations using his share of the $1.5 trillion tax cut Trump signed into law late a year ago. Nationally the new law has 41 percent support, while 42 percent are against it. Almost half (49 percent) of New Jerseyans expect that their tax bills will rise as a result of the overhaul, which scaled back the popular state and local tax deduction.

Oddly enough, as counterintuitive as it may seem, along with Trump's steadily improving job approval number (RCP average 43 percent), the Republican Party's 2018 prospects appear to be improving even as Democrats, special counsel Robert Mueller, and their allies in the corporate media attempt to personally and professionally destroy Trump in a series of coordinated attacks unlike any we have ever seen. Forty-seven percent of these residents expect their federal taxes to go up, the poll found.

The poll of 703 New Jersey adults, including a subset of 632 registered voters, was conducted from April 6 to April 10. The results have a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percent for the full sample and +/- 3.9 percent for voters.

New Jersey Democrats in Strong Position to Flip GOP Districts